Fairhope, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

685
FXUS64 KMOB 302059
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
359 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025

...New Discussion, Marine...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 359 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025

After an interesting weather day with just enough shear and
instability combined with an outflow enhanced boundary along the
I-10 corridor to generate numerous showers and storms. Some of
those storms were able to rotate and now we transitioned to a
flooding threat as the lead shortwave providing the forcing moves
east of the area. Most of the area will remain dry tonight with
fog developing near the coast and offshore, some of which could
become dense. We will have to monitor fog development this
evening and overnight to see how far inland it can develop.

Attention then turns to the severe weather risk tomorrow. Showers
and storms are expected to ignite along a frontal boundary late
tonight across portions of the ArkLaTex and develop into a line
of thunderstorms that races southeast into our area Monday morning
and clears the area during the afternoon. SPC has extended the
Enhanced Risk southwest to cover almost the entire area for
tomorrow based on the potential for the line of storms to
strengthen as it moves into our area. The greatest risk will be
damaging winds along the QLCS with a few tornadoes possible in
lewps and bows. The CAM guidance is split on intensifying the line
or weakening it as it moves southeast. With the way we have been
worked over today, feel like the window for increasing instability
tomorrow morning will be brief. Therefore, we cannot discount the
weakening solution entirely.

The frontal boundary moves south of the area Monday night. The
front returns quickly northward as a warm front through midweek
ahead of another develop trough across the western states. A
developing upper level ridge across the western Atlantic and
Florida will keep conditions warm and dry through much of the
week. Rain chances return late in the period as another frontal
boundary approaches. /13

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 359 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025

Patchy fog will develop tonight mainly along and south of I-10
with areas of dense fog possible near the coast.IFR to LIFR
conditions will be possible overnight. A line of showers and
storms will move into the area Monday morning with heavy rain and
lower visibilities. /13

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 359 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025

Light to moderate southerly tonight then southwesterly
on Monday. Winds become northerly Monday night as a cold front
moves through, then a light southeasterly flow returns on Tuesday.
The onshore flow becomes moderate to occasionally strong for
Wednesday and Thursday. /13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      66  80  61  80  67  83  69  84 /  20  90  10  10   0   0   0   0
Pensacola   68  77  65  77  69  78  71  79 /  20  80  10  10   0   0   0   0
Destin      67  75  66  77  68  78  70  79 /  20  80  20  10   0   0   0   0
Evergreen   65  79  56  83  64  87  66  87 /  20 100  10  10   0   0   0   0
Waynesboro  63  81  53  83  66  88  68  87 /  30  80  10  20   0  10  10  10
Camden      63  77  54  81  64  86  67  87 /  20 100  10  20   0   0  10  10
Crestview   64  79  59  83  64  84  66  84 /  20  90  30  10   0   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk through Monday afternoon for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through Monday afternoon for FLZ202-204-
     206.

MS...None.
GM...Dense Fog Advisory from midnight tonight to 9 AM CDT Monday for
     GMZ630>636-650-655-670-675.

&&

$$

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