Fairhope, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

616
FXUS64 KMOB 051132
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
632 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 628 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

 - A HIGH risk of rip currents continues through this afternoon
   for coastal Alabama and northwest Florida beaches. The risk
   returns to HIGH by Wednesday.

 - Showers and storms continue to slide across the area this
   morning ahead of a cold front.

 - Marine winds will reach advisory-level conditions tonight into
   early Monday behind the front. Additional rounds rounds of
   advisory-level conditions with gusts near gale-force are likely
   this week as marine winds turn easterly.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1254 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Our long awaited front is arriving as rain has slowly moved into our
area from the west this evening and the front has made it to central
Mississippi. Overall, weak ascent will continue to overspread our
area over the next 6 to 10 hours as showers and the occasional
thunderstorm develops along and ahead of the approaching boundary. A
few isolated showers have developed well out ahead of the main line
this evening and while a few have show some signs of very weak
transient rotation these very mini spinnies will likely struggle the
remainder of the night. Taking a quick gander at the KMOB vertical
wind profile shows really poor and weakening shear as we move
further east coupled with paltry instability. All that to say we are
not expecting much from any of these storms other than a quick shot
of rain. The main line should reach I-65 by around day break and
then clear the coast by early to mid-afternoon as it slows to a
crawl offshore. The upper trough pushing the front will quickly
eject out leading to the front likely stalling just off the coast
Sunday into Monday. With the front sitting just offshore, showers
and a few storms may encroach upon the immediate coastline through
midweek as a series of weak shortwaves progress across the mostly
westerly flow aloft. The strongest of these waves will arrive on
Wednesday into Thursday brining the chance for some light
overrunning rain to the area. However, moisture quality will likely
be limited and the best chance for any appreciable rain will likely
be along the immediate coastline. High Pressure will then build into
the area by the weekend leading to dry conditions as temperatures
slowly warm.

Beach Hazards... A HIGH risk of rip currents will likely through
today as a moderate onshore flow should persist. While the winds
will not be strong, there should be enough of a fetch and
increasingly strong tides falling during the afternoons to result in
likely hazardous swimming conditions and rip currents. Be sure to
continue to swim near lifeguards. BB-8

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 628 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Showers and storms continue to slide into the region this morning
ahead of a cold front. MVFR to IFR ceilings persist at the
terminals being impacted by rain and this trend of reduced
ceilings, and occasionally visibilities, will continue through
the morning. MVFR conditions are expected by this afternoon with
gradual improvement to VFR later this evening. Winds will continue
to turn northerly today in the wake of the front. 07/mb

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1254 AM CDT Sun Apr 5 2026

Winds quickly turn northerly overnight behind a approaching cold
front. A moderate to strong offshore flow develops through Monday
before winds turn easterly by Tuesday afternoon. These moderate to
strong easterly winds will persist through the end of the week.
Expect a few rounds of small craft advisory-level conditions
throughout the week and the potential gusts nearing gale force by
midweek. BB-8

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      74  52  68  50 /  90  20  10   0
Pensacola   76  55  68  55 /  90  30  10  10
Destin      75  56  69  56 /  80  40  20  10
Evergreen   73  47  70  46 /  90  10   0   0
Waynesboro  71  49  68  47 /  60   0   0   0
Camden      70  48  68  46 /  90   0   0   0
Crestview   78  51  70  48 /  90  30  10  10

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM CDT this evening for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM CDT this evening for FLZ202-204-
     206.

MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM CDT Monday
     for GMZ630>632.

     Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 1 PM CDT Monday
     for GMZ650-655.

     Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 4 PM CDT Monday
     for GMZ670-675.

&&

$$